Obama, a Presidential Bust? Polls Showing Hope for Change isn’t working according to many:
By Marc Chamot
Is Obama a presidential bust? Independents certainly think so.
From the Wall Street Journal-"On Monday, the Washington Post/ABC poll reported that 49% of Americans approve of his handling of health care while 44% disapprove. What many people missed is that those who strongly disapprove of the president’s approach on health care now outnumber those who strongly approve by 33% to 25%. That presages further decline. (check out my Independent folks on Obama?) Already, 49% of independents disapprove of the president’s approach, up from 30% in April, a staggering shift in 11 weeks.
Mr. Obama is also slipping on the economy. Those who strongly disapprove now outnumber those who strongly approve of his handling of the economy (35% to 29%), of deficits (38% to 19%), and of unemployment (31% to 26%). On Tuesday, Gallup showed Mr. Obama’s personal approval was 55%, down from more than 60% a few weeks ago and lower than the 56% George W. Bush had at this point in his first term."“At the rate Obama is dropping off the charts, I predict a Republican comeback in the 2010 midterms.”
President Barack Obama reminds me of a little kid in a toy store. When you let a kid
loose in a toy store, he’ll run and touch every thing, from one toy to the next. He’ll even make a big fuss if you don’t buy these toys for him, unaware that you, the parents, haven’t got the money to buy him everything.
Obama’s immaturity as president is showing big time. There’s another untold reason as to why his poll numbers are dropping. It isn’t just about his outlandish policies; it’s about his inexperience, maturity, and his qualifications to be president in the first place.
I’m going to go back when John McCain picked Sarah Palin as his vice presidential choice, and Obama and company blasted her as inexperienced, even though she was a governor of state, whereas Obama never had any political administrative experiences in his life. Well, except as a community organizer, I guess. It was a shameful kind of thing, the pot calling the kettle black, but Obama prevailed.
He was the carrier of hope and “change” mantras that Americans were hungry for, and many believed in him, but unfortunately he’s been showing us to be the carrier of the “same” old Washington politics that never changes.
If I’m a betting man, I predict that his poll numbers will keep going down, and there are many reasons as to why I believe that it will happen.
Things are stacking up politically against Obama badly.
Number one, the blame former President George Bush tactics is no longer credible and will no longer work with Americans. He’s demonstrated that he’s got firm control of the presidency, and these backfires from his ineffective policies are his mistakes, not the former president’s.
Now President Obama is on a new blame game to cover up for the potential disaster of his failed healthcare plan. He’s on a complaining mode; he’s now blaming his problems on the culture of Washington, the 24 news cycle, i.e. FOX News, cynics, naysayers, and the Internet for hindering and doubting his progress on his signature issues.
Even though Obamacare could set this country back into poverty, Obama is insistent to push this through regardless to what it could do to our deficit, and without any regards as to what happened with his $800 billion dollars stimulus bill, which looks like may have been a total failure and a waste of money for American taxpayers.
The stimulus bill was a failure, because President Obama made it a failure. Obama is stonewalling on bailout expenditures, one of his “change” mantras was supposed to make government more transparent to the people they serve, unfortunately President Obama refuses to let American taxpayers see what TARP recipients’ are doing with our tax money.
The Obama Treasury Department is not requiring any of the billion dollar stimulus recipients to report and show how billions of our dollars are lavishly being spent. In other words, the Obama administration has blackened out from public view, in how much our taxpayer investments are worth, and to whom our money is going at Wall Street.
Without these oversights, a key government source now says that the potential costs to totally bail out this country, from these financial nightmares, could end up costing taxpayers a whopping $23.7 Trillion dollars!But the truths to Obama’s possible demise for his healthcare, and other outlandish costly policies may be due to the old
“Blue Dogs” Democrats, and yes, those conservative Democrats I’ve been writing about.
You do the Math. Source: One of my most favorite political writers around, Michael Barone Examiner.com. Twenty-nine of these
“Blue Dogs” defeated or replaced republicans by voter backlash around 2006 and 2008. Thirty three of them come from districts that carried John McCain during the presidential elections. These fellows are definitely going to stand in the way of future outlandish Obama policies, mainly those that are not fiscally responsible, and may do a whole lot of damage to the country fiscally.
A Bloody Wednesday for Obama, do you folks see any Obama's hope and changes in this article?Democrats dismayed by Obama signing statementsAnne Flaherty, Associated Press
"President Obama has irked close allies in Congress by declaring he has the right to ignore legislation on constitutional grounds after having criticized George W. Bush for doing the same.
Four senior House Democrats on Tuesday said they were surprised and chagrined by Obama's declaration in June that he doesn't have to comply with provisions in a war spending bill that puts conditions on aid provided to the World Bank and International Monetary Fund.
In a signing statement accompanying the $106 billion bill, Obama said he wouldn't allow the legislation to interfere with his authority as president to conduct foreign policy and negotiate with other governments.
Earlier in his 6-month-old administration, Obama issued a similar statement regarding provisions in a $410 billion omnibus spending bill. He also included qualifying remarks when signing legislation that established commissions to govern public lands in New York, investigate the financial crisis and celebrate Ronald Reagan's birthday.
"During the previous administration, all of us were critical of (Bush's) assertion that he could pick and choose which aspects of congressional statutes he was required to enforce," the Democrats wrote in their letter to Obama. "We were therefore chagrined to see you appear to express a similar attitude."
The letter was signed by Reps. David Obey of Wisconsin, chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, and Barney Frank of Massachusetts, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, as well as Reps. Nita Lowey and Gregory Meeks, both of New York, who chair subcommittees on those panels.
Obama needs Obey and Frank in particular to push through Congress key pieces of his agenda, including health care and financial oversight reform.
The White House said Tuesday the administration plans to implement the provisions of the bill and suggested that Obama's signing statement was aimed more at defending the president's executive powers than skirting the law.
Bush issued a record number of signing statements while in office as he sparred with Democrats on such big issues as the war in Iraq.
Democrats, including Obama, sharply criticized Bush as overstepping his bounds as president. In March, Obama ordered a review of Bush's guidelines for implementing legislation."
A month of gloomy Thursdays for health care planBy:
Michael Barone Senior Political Analyst
“That same day, freshman Rep. Jared Polis of Boulder, Colo., sent Pelosi a letter signed by 21 House freshmen and one sophomore opposing the increased taxes on high earners imposed by the two House committee bills. "Especially in a recession," the letter read, "we need to make sure not to kill the goose that will lay the golden eggs of our recovery."
There are 256 Democrats in the House, with one vacant Democratic seat. Only five Democrats signed both the Blue Dogs and the Polis letters. That means that 57 Democrats signed one letter or the other, pledging to oppose central features of the Democratic health care bills. Few if any Republicans are expected to support either bill. You do the math. The Democratic leadership seems well short of the 218 votes needed for a majority on the floor. No wonder Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said it was time to "go back to the drawing board."
Obama and congressional Democratic leaders are blaming Republicans for their problem. Obama noted that Republican Sen. Jim DeMint and Weekly Standard Editor William Kristol wanted to "kill" the Democratic bills. But the Blue Dogs and Polis letters showed that the mortal threat came from elected Democrats. Twenty-nine of the 57 letter signers defeated or replaced Republicans in 2006 or 2008. Thirty-three of them represent districts carried by John McCain in 2008.
What we're seeing is the people speaking through their politicians. Obama and many Democrats assumed that the financial crisis would predispose most Americans to favor a larger and much more expensive government than we have ever had before.
Plausible hope for change, perhaps, but polling shows it hasn't happened. The prospect of huge federal deficits extending out as far as the eye can see is not appealing to most voters. The prospect of having the health care sector of the economy designed by the people who gave us the $787 billion stimulus package is even less appetizing.
But we should not cynically underrate the importance of strong argument, which may prevail despite the transcendent aura of a new president. Some of the Blue Dogs' concerns may be parochial (rural health care), but they make a strong case, buttressed by Elmendorf's expert testimony, that Congress should not rush to transform the health care sector at huge cost and with little cost-cutting effect. And the Polis letter signers' concern about the negative macroeconomic effects of higher taxation of high earners can find support in the writings of Democratic as well as Republican economists.
What will this Thursday bring? We'll wait and see what comes from the buzzing on Capitol Hill. In the meantime, as I read the text of the Blue Dogs and Polis letters, I suddenly heard the voice of the late Jack Kemp proclaiming at the 1984 Republican National Convention that if you subsidize something you get more of it and if you tax something you get less of it.”
Obama popularity slips in light of realitiesNancy Benac,Trevor Tompson, Associated Press
"The number of people who think Obama can improve the economy is down a sobering 19 percentage points from the euphoric days just before his inauguration. Ditto for expectations about creating jobs. Also down significantly: the share of people who think he can reduce the deficit, remove troops from Iraq and improve respect for the United States around the world, all slipping 15 points.
On overhauling health care, a signature issue for Obama, hopes for success are down a lesser 6 points.
Add it all up, and does it mean Obama has lost his mojo? Has "Yes We Can" morphed into maybe?
"I think it's just reality," said Sandy Smith, a 48-year-old public relations worker from Los Angeles. "He's not Superman, right?"
Indeed, it's not unusual for approval ratings to slide once presidents actually get to work. They're pulled down by things going on in the real world, by people who don't agree with the ways they're addressing problems, by criticism from political opponents.
In Obama's case, the problems he's confronting domestically and internationally are legion, and his ability to blame them on his predecessor is fading.
It's all taking a toll on expectations. The number of people who think it's realistic to expect at least some noticeable improvement in the economy during Obama's first year in office dropped from 27 percent in January to 16 percent in the latest survey.
There's been slippage, as well, in how people view the president personally, although he's still well regarded. About two-thirds now think he understands the problems of ordinary Americans, down from 81 percent in January. Sixty-nine percent think he's a strong leader, off from 78 percent before the inauguration.
It's not just Obama who's feeling the drag. Approval of Congress - already low - has gotten lower, slipping 6 percentage points to 32 percent.
Overall, the number of people who think the country is going in the wrong direction hit 54 percent in the latest AP-GfK poll, up from 46 percent in June.
That's not necessarily surprising. In years past, the public has tended to be more pessimistic than optimistic about the country's future. Recent exceptions have been short-lived, at the start of the Iraq war, after the Sept. 11 attacks in 2001, after the capture of Saddam Hussein and late in the Clinton administration.
Perhaps most troubling for Obama may be where he is losing ground. His approval rating was down 9 points among Americans overall but 20 percent among independents. Similarly, the increase in those who think the country is headed in the wrong direction came mostly from independents and Democrats.
The AP-GfK Poll was conducted July 16-20 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media. It involved interviews on landlines and cell phones with 1,006 adults nationwide. The survey had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points."